This weekend, we have a PPV card at Atlanta. DraftKings has some strong contests for us to win a lot of money from this week and that I can not wait to chase those big prizes. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $30k belongs to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I will attempt to get my 2nd and 3rd chairs this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and toss 100 or so entries at that $30k prize, and then I will likely take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — STACK — Max Holloway $9,100 and Dustin Poirier $7,100
This was the very first thing I did when wages were released. I put these two fighters in my money lineup and I started building out there. I expect this to be among the greatest fights of all time and that I think we get ~200 total DK points from this fight, plus the guaranteed win. I’m okay with taking the loss when I can guarantee myself over 100 points with the pile, but I think 150 is a safe projection for this fight and if we can lock up 3 other wins we ought to win the vast majority of our cash games. As I always say, we don’t need 6 wins for cash games so there is actually no need to pursue it. Just lock in a secure lineup that you think will score more than 400 total points and you should acquire more H2Hs than you lose.
GPP drama of the week — Nikita Krylov — $8,200
Krylov is my GPP drama of the week because he’s the definition of bust or boom. He loses or scores more than 100 DK points. That’s what we want in GPPs. This isn’t a sure pick in him winning it is only a shot at his ceiling that is what we search for in the big GPPs where we’re attempting to acquire the top $30k prize. Krylov has finished all 24 of his wins and he’s only seen the 3rd around once in his career. This is a great struggle to target on either side, but I am taking Krylov for the win and that I will have a good amount of exposure to this weekend.
Underdog play of the week — Dustin Poirier — $7,100
I needed to put Poirier here. I adore his floor and I think he’s a live underdog. However, IF he wins, he will 100% end up on the 1st place lineup in his 7.1k price-tag. He’s going to score over 100 DK points when he can find a success here and that’s what we are chasing in GPPs. Even if you think Max is going to dominate Poirier I think you ought to have 1 hedge lineup utilizing Poirier, which is an all-purpose fight for me. Every lineup I build will start with Dustin or Max and I’ll go on from there. Load up with this fight and be sure to get any Poirier exposure.
Fade of the week — Boston Salmon ($8,600)
It was hard to pick a fade of this week this week since I think you can make an argument for rostering everyone. I wanted to choose a popular though and I feel the favored with one of the reduced ceilings is Salmon. I’m picking him to win but he will not be going for almost any takedowns and when he doesn’t get a finish he probably does not pay off his $8.6k price . I want at least 10x (86-points) if I’m rostering someone and I really don’t see him unless he gets a knockout. Taha is hard so I really don’t observe the knockout occurring. I believe Salmon does make a unanimous decision win here but it likely scores in the 70’s and that won’t win us the big $30k. That is why he is my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link as well. I’m 66-41 for +220.23un (+$22,023) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

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