NASCAR at Atlanta odds, picks 2019: Model says Jimmie Johnson surprises at Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500

The 2019 Folds of Honor Quiktrip 500 runs Sunday at Atlanta Motor Speedway and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin will look to follow up his historic win with another strong performance. He is listed at 15-1 in the most current 2019 Folds of Honor Quiktrip 500 chances, with the event’s defending champion, Kevin Harvick, set up as the Vegas favorite at 4-1. Harvick will begin in 18th, but finished second from that place back in 2009 in Atlanta. Then there’s Aric Almirola, who won the pole and is moving off at 20-1 NASCAR at Atlanta chances. The restrictor plates will probably come off with this race, so before making your 2019 Folds of Honor Quiktrip 500 picks, make sure you check out the projected leaderboard and latest NASCAR predictions from the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and recent results into consideration.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, such as nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it’s off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top contender from the start. Anyone who has followed its picks is way, way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Events at venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his blood. His model simulated the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta, we could tell you the model is top on Jimmie Johnson, that surges towards the very top of the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 leaderboard despite going off as a 25-1 long haul.

The seven-time cup champion had a solid run at the Daytona 500, finishing ninth as a 43-year-old in his 19th season on NASCAR’s top circuit. He heads into a track where he has won five times in his career.

Johnson won the first two races at Atlanta Motor Speedway when the event was changed from the latter portion of the year to correct after Daytona. He also won the late race at Atlanta in 2004 and won both occasions there in 2007.

Johnson will begin in 11th on Sunday, and the model expects NASCAR’s elder statesman to stay close to the front of the package and provide the potential for a massive payout.

Another shocker from the model: Kyle Busch, one of the best Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn’t crack the top five.

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