The 2019 Food City 500 takes place on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET, and every corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked trail where passing is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second success of this 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and can be recorded at 14-1 to win in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. But, there are just six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your 2019 Food City 500 choices, visit the NASCAR at Bristol predictions in the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track record and current results into consideration.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those motorists at McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes in the Automobile Club 400. Anyone who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His model simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For Sundaywe can tell you that the version is high on Kurt Busch, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot at 14-1 NASCAR in Bristol chances.

Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among active NASCAR drivers. This comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR at Bristol race for his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way to the front of the package from the ninth starting position in that race also has also previously come from the 27th and 13th starting positions to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and certainly will start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash at Daytona and third at Atlanta.

Along with a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the best Vegas favorites at 12-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better values than the 12-1 premium he is controlling.

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