NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500
The 2019 Food City 500 takes place on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at two p.m. ET, and each corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked trail where passing is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next success of this 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and can be listed at 14-1 to win in the most current 2019 Food City 500 odds. But, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol odds better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your 2019 Food City 500 choices, visit the NASCAR at Bristol predictions in the proven computer version at SportsLine.
Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.
The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top five. It was also all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the motorists at McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes at the Auto Club 400. Anyone who has followed its picks is far up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his blood. His version simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
For Sunday, we can tell you the model is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a long shot at 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol odds.
Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among busy NASCAR drivers. That comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR at Bristol race for his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.
The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way to the front of the package from the starting position in that race also has also previously come in the 27th and 13th starting places to win at Bristol. He conquer Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and will start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year also, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second in the Clash in Daytona and third at Atlanta.
And a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites in 12-1, doesn’t crack the top five. There are far better worth than the 12-1 premium he’s controlling.
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